Everything is Just Beginning: Why the War-Driven Rally is a Trap
Hey everyone,
The war in the Middle East, which I have been warning about throughout 2025, has begun. But to the surprise of many, the markets did not collapse. On the contrary, we saw a rally in cryptocurrency and gold, while indices only corrected slightly.
Just 5 min read it I warned you long

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Gold (XAU/USD): Safehaven flows favour Dollar – will $5k hold?Gold took a serious hit yesterday, falling sharply despite the massive geopolitical escalation in the Middle East. Why? Because the resulting energy shock is inherently inflationary, and safe-haven flows are currently pouring into the US Dollar instead.
However, XAU/USD has found a critical floor a
Is Apple Rolling Over?Apple has done little for a long time, and some traders may think the tech giant is rolling over.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the weekly close of $278.78 on December 5. AAPL tried to cross above that level the following week but failed. It was revisited early last month without breaking.
Microsoft - One of the best swingtrades ever!💵Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) is setting up for something big:
🔎Analysis summary:
For over six months, Microsoft has clearly been creating a healthy correction. But looking at higher timeframe structure, Microsoft is also currently retesting a major support area. If we see bullish confirmation s
BITCOIN at $50k would follow exactly the 2022 script.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) continues to replicate the 2022 Bear Cycle, in fact it's been repeating the price action even before it as the build up sequence since 2021 is identical to the one of late 2024 - 2025.
BTC is right now at the 2nd Stage of consolidation right above the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line).
Oil Gaps Into Multi-Year ResistanceWith conflict erupting in the Middle East over the weekend, the gap higher in oil prices is hardly surprising. But while sudden price moves tend to attract traders like moths to a flame, moments like this are exactly when context becomes most important.
Geopolitics jolts energy markets
Energy
Gold – Volatility Risks Increase Due to Iran ConflictIt could be argued that geopolitics weren’t considered a primary driver of Gold through much of February. The focus for traders was more on positioning, shifting Federal Reserve interest rate expectations and the jolt of uncertainty that followed the US Supreme Court’s decision to strike down Presid
S&P and a very timely correction for the U.S. presidentWith the start of the boxing match between the U.S. and the regime in Iran in the Middle East ring, and with rising threats around the Strait of Hormuz, around 20–30% of global oil and gas supply could be disrupted—at least in the coming week (hopefully not for long).
Usually, these kinds of tensio
Bitcoin - War in Dubai, Bitcoin crash soon! (pump after that)The current war between Iran and the UAE (Dubai) will probably send the price of Bitcoin (and all altcoins) down! Dubai has been one of the most secure places in the world, but with the current attacks, people may lose trust, and the housing market could collapse in this country. Dubai is known as a
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Swing Profile [BigBeluga]🔵 OVERVIEW
Swing Profile is a dynamic swing-based volume profiling tool that builds a complete volume profile for each completed market swing.
Instead of using fixed sessions or time ranges, the indicator anchors its profile strictly between confirmed swing highs and swing lows, allowing tra
[MAD] Gann o MaticusGannomat — Full Automated Gann Grids & Astro Cycles
Automatic Gann quadrant boxes with geometric arc projections. Cycle boundaries from standard timeframes or real planetary astronomy.
Thanks BarefootJoey, master of Astrolib
What Does This Indicator Do?
Gannomat draws a Gann quadrant box
Breakout Volume Delta | Flux ChartsGENERAL OVERVIEW:
Breakout Volume Delta is an indicator that measures breakout strength using lower-timeframe volume delta. It estimates buyer vs. seller participation within the breakout candle by summing bullish and bearish sub-candle volumes, then visualizes that dominance by splitting the candl
HTF Floating Candles w/ Volume Footprint [theUltimator5]This indicator is designed to pull higher-timeframe candles outside of the chart, and add the footprint volume data to give a complete snapshot of the Higher Timeframe (HTF) trading range and volume data without cluttering your view.
IMPORTANT!
This uses the new request.footprint() call, which ma
Earnings Snapshot [Trendoscope]🎲 Overview
The Earnings Snapshot is a custom indicator designed to provide traders and investors with a quick, visual overview of a stock's earnings performance and its impact on price action. This tool automates the analysis of earnings reports by fetching historical and future earnings data,
Market Structure Dashboard | Flux ChartsGENERAL OVERVIEW
Market Structure Dashboard is a multi-timeframe market structure analysis indicator. It combines EMA trend detection, swing high/low tracking, market structure labels, Order Block detection, Fair Value Gap detection, liquidity sweep detection, volume analysis, volatility analysis,
Smart NR2-NR20 and Inside Bar (Zeiierman)█ Overview
Smart NR2–NR20 + Inside Bar (Zeiierman) is a compression + breakout scanner that searches for the tightest Narrow Range (NR) condition across NR2…NR20, plus optional Inside Bar detection. When a valid compression forms, it draws a box around the setup, projects the high/low levels for
TASC 2026.03 One Percent A Week█ OVERVIEW
This script implements "A High-Probability Weekly Trading Strategy For TQQQ" as dictated in the March 2026 edition of the TASC Traders' Tips , "Trading Snapbacks In A Leveraged ETF”. In this article the author creates a mean reversion strategy intended for systematic and discretionary
Smart Trader, Concentric Candles & Aristotelian Cycloids
Smart Trader, Episode 05
Concentric Candles & Aristotelian Cycloids
by Ata Sabanci
The Spark — How a 2,000-Year-Old Paradox Found the Charts
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
It started with a film about Aristotle's Wheel
Paradox — a problem that puzzled mathematicians
for two mille
MovingAveragesLibrary "MovingAverages"
A collection of O(1) numerically stable moving averages that support anchors and fractional lengths up to 100k bars.
Pine Script has a robust set of moving averages suitable for a majority of cases, making these alternatives useful only if you need anchoring, fractional
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Community trends
Palantir at a Critical Turning PointThe chart is on the daily timeframe and shows a classic trendline breakdown followed by a pullback.
Key observations:
• The long-term uptrend line has been broken
• Price dropped sharply after the break
• The current move is a pullback to the broken trendline
• The moving average (orange line)
RCL — 1,000% in 5 Years. CRACK!Royal Caribbean went from crash to 10x in five years. That's one of the biggest recoveries in the market. But big moves don't last forever. Right now, RCL is showing a double top followed by a head-and-shoulders — stacked on top of each other — right at a major ceiling. Two CRACKS have already been
Petroleo Brasileiro has been in BULL markets for MANY years now!Some HIGH dividend paying oil plays like Petroleo Brasileiro have been in BULL markets for MANY years now.
It also JUST broke out of IMPORTANT consolidation patterns 2 months ago, before any WAR.
This looks more like the CONTINUATION, than the END of the trend.
BROADCOM If this level breaks, expect a bottom at $255.Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) rebounded aggressively this week on its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) but remains practically ranged within that and its 1D MA100 (red trend-line) since the week of January 20.
Within its 4-year Channel Up, this is not the first time we see this price action, as the stock was in th
APPLE The Target Is UP! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the APPLE next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 257.54
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Targ
The key is whether it can rise above 87.68 ~ 92.50
Hello, traders!
Follow me to get the latest information quickly.
Have a great day.
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To continue the uptrend, the price must remain above 81.28.
Therefore, the key is whether it can find support in the 81.28 ~ 91.78 range and rise.
If the upward movement fa
Northrop Grumman (NOC) — Technical AnalysisNorthrop Grumman (NOC) — Technical Analysis
Trend
The market structure is strongly bullish. Price is moving inside a steep ascending trend channel, respecting the primary rising trendline (red) as dynamic support. Since the beginning of 2026, the stock has been producing consistent higher highs and
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Community trends
BITCOIN latest Death Cross historically does -50% drop from hereBitcoin (BTCUSD) has just completed a Death Cross on the 3D time-frame, which is when the MA50 (blue trend-line) crosses below the MA200 (orange trend-line).
Every time this took place since 2014 during a Bear Cycle, BTC dropped by at least another -52%. That was the case of the 2022 and 2018 Bear
March Altcoin Analysis Request – Limited SlotsGlobal tension and ongoing geopolitical conflicts are currently creating extreme uncertainty across financial markets. With increasing instability around the world, market structure has become more reactive, volatile, and difficult to predict, especially within the crypto sector.
Because of this en
BTCUSD Bullish Triangle Breakout.....
The BTCUSD chart shows a **bullish triangle formation** where price consolidates between rising support and horizontal resistance. The market respected the **ascending trend line**, creating higher lows and building buying pressure. A clear **Break of Structure (BOS)** occurs as price breaks above
SUI has a very bright roadmap (3D)It appears that SUI is currently forming Wave D of a larger structure, and based on the current market structure we expect the price to react from the green support zone and potentially move toward the marked targets on the chart.
The green zone can be considered a key accumulation area. Instead of
Potential short term rebound long on BTC (AMD model)BTC fell sharply without retesting key areas,
although this is a counter trend trade, it is a very low risk high reward setup,
enter long @ current range with SL below the lower retest band which was completed.
target the the H4 Candle high as show on the H4 chart on the left
happy trading
Ethereum - Creating the bearmarket bottom!💰Ethereum ( CRYPTO:ETHUSD ) is finishing its bearmarket:
🔎Analysis summary:
Over the course of the past couple of months, Ethereum created an expected correction of more than -50%. But with this recent dip, Ethereum is now retesting major support. The underlying triangle is still valid and Et
SOL/USDT: Massive Bearish Flag - Road to $47.53As shown in my chart, Solana is following a textbook Bearish Flag pattern. The flagpole started from the $150 level, and after a period of consolidation, the price is now rejecting the upper resistance of the flag.
I have drawn a purple projection line that shows the expected path. Once we break the
Market Update Mar 7: BTC The current market situation still looks bullish to me, since we have a strong long signal on the weekly timeframe in the form of convergence. Locally, the price has entered a formation that is shaping into a flag. If this is consolidation after the drop and we are meant to continue moving down, the
Bitcoin 4H Trendline Retest – Bullish Continuation SetupBitcoin 4H Trendline Retest – Potential Bullish Continuation Setup
The chart shows the 4-hour price structure of Bitcoin against USDT on Binance, highlighting a significant technical structure that could define the next directional move. The market recently experienced a strong impulsive rally fol
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XAU/USD (Gold) - Safe Haven Demand + Weak NFP Data (07.03.2026)Description : Setup Overview OANDA:XAUUSD
✅XAUUSD is currently reacting from a major support and cloud demand zone, where price recently formed a higher low near point D. The market structure suggests that sellers are losing momentum after the previous downtrend line break.
✅The descending tre
XAUUSD D1-OVERVIEW ANALYSIS FOR THE NEXT WEEKGold Is Entering a Critical Zone — Could Wave C Expand Next Week?
On the D1 timeframe, gold is approaching a highly sensitive phase as the previous bullish structure is no longer maintaining the same strong momentum seen earlier in the trend. Instead of continuing to break higher, price is now reac
XAUUSD (D1) — Uptrend is intact— “Uptrend is intact… but the best long may come AFTER the final liquidity sweep”
Gold is still respecting the primary bullish structure on the higher timeframe, but the correction doesn’t look “finished” yet. Price has already reacted off the 0.618 Fibonacci, and the next high-probability area the
Gold Trading StrategyGold has always been regarded as the most reliable asset by investors and traders. Its volatility combined with market unpredictability can bring considerable profits, but it can also cause huge losses.
Core Factors Affecting the Gold Price
Global economic conditions: Gold is seen as a safe-haven as
"Gold is the only answer"When you read doomers assure you that the world is about to end and there is only one (well, two now with Bitcoin) assets that are the only, best, and final solution... just remember that markets may change but people do not.
"The aim of the supply-siders is nothing less than a commitment from the
GOLD (XAU/USD) – Golden Reversal 61.8% Zone Holding |Safe Haven 📊 XAU/USD – Golden Reversal Zone Holding (Bullish Setup)
🔥Gold is currently reacting strongly from a major confluence support zone, combining the ascending channel support, key demand area, and the Fibonacci 61.8% Golden Reversal Level.
🔥This zone historically attracts institutional buying, and t
GOLD 06/03 – H1 ROUTE MAP| BREAK 5000, NEXT TARGET 485X?Is the current recovery just a pullback after the breakdown, or is the market preparing for a stronger decline ahead of the US labor data release?
After the strong sell-off in the previous session, gold quickly dropped to the 5050–5000 area, right at the H4 trendline demand zone that has been monit
Gold: Breakout and Potential Retrace! Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring XAUUSD for a buying opportunity around 5,110 zone, Gold was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 5,110 support and resistance area.
GOLD Potential Rebound from Support Gold prices remain technically supported after reacting strongly from the lower boundary of the descending channel. Following the sharp sell-off earlier in the week, the market found solid demand near the support zone, allowing the price to stabilize and begin forming a short-term base.
Technically
XAU/USD: Sharp Decline or a Reversal?Currently, XAU/USD is facing strong resistance at the 5,200,000 level, where the price of gold has been consistently rejected over the past few days. This price level is a crucial threshold, and the failure to break through it is creating a clear bearish signal for the gold market. In recent tradi
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GBPUSD Bearish Outlook | War Tensions Boost USD!Hey Traders,
In the coming week, we are monitoring GBPUSD for a selling opportunity around the 1.34800 zone.
GBPUSD is currently trading in a downtrend and is undergoing a corrective phase, approaching a key trendline confluence and the 1.34800 support–resistance area. This level could act as a st
What is the reason for the decline of the EUR/USD pairI analyzed the EUR/USD pair at the request of some friends and explained everything on the chart. I outlined the primary reason for the currency's decline and the reason it reached its target when two trendlines were broken to confirm the target. I also highlighted the potential for speculative buyi
UJ, Dollar gains another week, but the bears are here.Weekly Chart:
The dollar has extended its gains for the 3rd week in a row, and is getting close to a key resistance level near 159.5.
The JPYX index has been in a strong downtrend since April last year, and after two rejections from 676.4 support it's heading toward that level again.
This Be
GBP-AUD Free Signal! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GBPAUD tapped into a premium supply zone after grabbing buy-side liquidity, signaling potential bearish continuation. If sellers maintain control below this level, price may expand toward the next sell-side liquidity.
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Stop Loss: 1.9188
Take Profit: 1.8941
Entry
AUDJPY: Bullish Channel – Buy the DipsHello Trading Fam! 👋
Price is in an upward channel and respecting the rising trendline, so bias is bullish. Look for long entries when price pulls back into the blue support zone near the lower channel line, targeting a continuation higher.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comme
USDJPY Testing 158 Resistance – Liquidity Sweep or Pull Back ?USD/JPY Approaching Major Reversal Zone – Key Confirmation Required
Chart Overview
The chart displays USD/JPY on the 2-hour timeframe, showing a strong bullish structure that developed after price reacted from a key support–resistance interchange zone around 156.70 – 156.90. From this demand area,
GBPJPY – Weekly Chart | Potential Premium Short ScenarioHigher Timeframe Context
On the weekly timeframe, GBPJPY has been trending strongly bullish, moving inside a clear ascending channel structure. The market has consistently formed higher highs and higher lows, showing sustained upward momentum over the past year.
However, price is now approaching a
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